Karen Short, a research ecologist of One Service, who contributed to the study and maintained a historic database of the national wildfire report, says that it is necessary to understand why they start to stop and educate the public. Are. Strategic prevention seems to be working: According to the National Fire Protection Association, there has been a decrease in home fire incidents in America About half of the 1980s,
In 2024, Short expanded more useful information for investigators, such as weather, height, population density and fire collection to include time of fire. “We need to capture those things in data to track over time. We still keep an eye on things of the 1900s, ”he said.
According to the short, the trend of wildfire across the western United States has changed with human activity. In recent decades, fire has become more common with power lines, fireworks and firearms, on the contrary, the fire caused by rail and saw machine was a time.
The study found that vehicles and equipment are potentially number one guilty, which was potentially 21 percent of wildfire causes without any known cause since 1992. Airport fire A similar incident occurred in California, in which more than 23,000 acres of land was burnt. And the increasing number of fire is the result of arson and accidental fire – whether it is from smoking, gun fire, or camp fire – which is the other 18 percent. In 2017, a couple from Arizona chose a blue smoke -blow fireworks to reveal the child's penis and lit the party. Fire of ripAbout 47,000 acres of land was set on fire.
But these results are not certain. The machine-learning model used for the study is trained to estimate the possibility of a given fire rather than proving a special fire phenomenon. Although the model of the study showed 90 percent accuracy in choosing as an ignition source between electricity or human activity when tested on fire for known reasons, it was more difficult to determine which of the 11 potential human behavior Was guilty, it was correct in only half the time.
Yawar Pormohammad, a data science PhD researcher at the Bis State University, who leads the study, says that knowing the possible causes of the fire can help the authorities warn people in high -risk areas before the fire. He said, “It can indicate people to be careful with what is most important.” “Perhaps in the future, AI can become a reliable tool for real -world action.”
Professor Sinolacis of the USC says that the research of pauramohmad and short is important to understand how risks are changing. He advocates active actions such as underground power lines, where the winds do not affect him.
A 2018 study It was found that the fire from fallen power lines – such as the same year, is increasing camp fire in Paradise, California. Although the writers note that although the electric lines are not responsible for many fire, they are connected to a large part of the burnt land.
“We really have to ensure that our community is more flexible to climate change,” Sinolacis said. “As we are looking at the extreme conditions in Los Angeles, extinguishing the fire alone will not work.”